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In this Friday, Sept. 7, 2018 photo, wildfires continued to burn on the ridge line east of I-5 just south of Gibson Rd., exit near Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif. A roaring wildfire that has shut down a stretch of a major interstate in a rural area near the California-Oregon border has nearly doubled in size. The blaze in California's Shasta-Trinity National Forest is burning out of control and crews Saturday, Sept. 8, are scrambling to prevent it from reaching mountain communities to the north. (Hung T. Vu/The Record Searchlight via AP)
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In this Friday, Sept. 7, 2018 photo, wildfires continued to burn on the ridge line east of I-5 just south of Gibson Rd., exit near Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif. A roaring wildfire that has shut down a
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Photo: Hung T. Vu / Associated Press
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FILE - In this Aug. 9, 2018, file photo, a firefighter battles the Holy Fire burning in the Cleveland National Forest along a hillside at Temescal Valley in Corona, Calif. California is in the midst of another devastating year of wildfires and finding the causes for the worst of them can be critical to identifying better fire-prevention techniques. But often investigators cant figure out a cause. (AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu, File)
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FILE - In this Aug. 9, 2018, file photo, a firefighter battles the Holy Fire burning in the Cleveland National Forest along a hillside at Temescal Valley in Corona, Calif. California is in the midst of another
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Photo: Ringo H.W. Chiu / Associated Press
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A wildfire threatens homes as it burns along the 101 Freeway Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2017, in Ventura, Calif. Raked by ferocious Santa Ana winds, explosive wildfires northwest of Los Angeles and in the city's foothills burned a psychiatric hospital and scores of homes and other structures Tuesday and forced the evacuation of tens of thousands of people. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
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A wildfire threatens homes as it burns along the 101 Freeway Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2017, in Ventura, Calif. Raked by ferocious Santa Ana winds, explosive wildfires northwest of Los Angeles and in the city's
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Photo: Jae C. Hong / Associated Press
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FILE - In this Aug. 7, 2018 file photo, firefighters monitor a backfire while battling the Ranch Fire, part of the Mendocino Complex Fire near Ladoga, Calif. The years with the most acres burned by wildfires have some of the hottest temperatures, an Associated Press analysis of fire and weather data found. As human-caused climate change has warmed the world over the past 35 years, the land consumed in flames has more than doubled. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)
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FILE - In this Aug. 7, 2018 file photo, firefighters monitor a backfire while battling the Ranch Fire, part of the Mendocino Complex Fire near Ladoga, Calif. The years with the most acres burned by wildfires
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Photo: Noah Berger / Associated Press
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A firefighter passes flames from a backfire while battling the Delta Fire in the Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif., Thursday, Sept. 6, 2018. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)
A firefighter passes flames from a backfire while battling the Delta Fire in the Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif., Thursday, Sept. 6, 2018. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)
Photo: Noah Berger / Associated Press
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SANTA ROSA, CA - OCTOBER 9: A firestorm that began in Napa Valley's Calistoga, roars down the hills from Fountaingrove and into the Coffey Park and Orchard Mobile Home Park neighborhoods on October 9, 2017, in Santa Rosa, California. State officials are calling it the most destructing natural disaster in recent history, the Tubbs Fire roared through forested hillsides before descending into densely populated neighborhoods, destroying 6,000 homes, property, and businesses, resulting in an estimated $3 billion in damage, 19 deaths, and leaving thousands homeless. (Photo by George Rose/Getty Images)
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SANTA ROSA, CA - OCTOBER 9: A firestorm that began in Napa Valley's Calistoga, roars down the hills from Fountaingrove and into the Coffey Park and Orchard Mobile Home Park neighborhoods on October 9, 2017, in
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Photo: George Rose / Getty Images
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PG&E crews work on Vintage Circle in the heart of in the Fountaingrove neighborhood, destroyed by the Tubbs Fire, in Santa Rosa on Tuesday Oct. 17, 2017.
PG&E crews work on Vintage Circle in the heart of in the Fountaingrove neighborhood, destroyed by the Tubbs Fire, in Santa Rosa on Tuesday Oct. 17, 2017.
Photo: Paul Chinn / The Chronicle
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The properties where houses used to be along Dogwood Drive and off of Mocha Lane, Thursday, March 22, 2018, in Santa Rosa, Calif. The Coffey Park neighborhood area was devastated by last year's Tubbs Fire.
The properties where houses used to be along Dogwood Drive and off of Mocha Lane, Thursday, March 22, 2018, in Santa Rosa, Calif. The Coffey Park neighborhood area was devastated by last year's Tubbs Fire.
Photo: Santiago Mejia / The Chronicle
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In a photo provided by the astronaut Alexander Gerst of the European Space Agency, seen from the International Space Station, plumes of smoke from various wildfires burn in northern California, on Aug. 2, 2018. The largest wildfire in Californias history continued to rage Aug. 7, after steadily growing for nearly two weeks. Unprecedented in scope, the Northern California fire, called the Mendocino Complex, has already consumed roughly 980 square miles and forced tens of thousands of people from their homes. (Alexander Gerst/European Space Agency via The New York Times) -- FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. --
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In a photo provided by the astronaut Alexander Gerst of the European Space Agency, seen from the International Space Station, plumes of smoke from various wildfires burn in northern California, on Aug. 2, 2018.
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Photo: ALEXANDER GERST / NYT
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An Air National Guard helicopter moves in to make a water drop as the Lodge Fire Complex between Leggett and Laytonville, Calif., on Friday Aug. 8, 2014. Officials say eight firefighters who suffered burns while battling a wildfire in Northern California have been taken to the hospital. California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection Capt. Carlos Guerrero said Saturday that the injured firefighters are in stable condition after being airlifted to the burn center at the University of California, Davis for treatment. Officials say three firefighters from Santa Clara County and five inmate firefighters were burned fighting a blaze in Mendocino County late Friday night. (AP Photo, Kent Porter, Santa Rosa Press Democrat)
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An Air National Guard helicopter moves in to make a water drop as the Lodge Fire Complex between Leggett and Laytonville, Calif., on Friday Aug. 8, 2014. Officials say eight firefighters who suffered burns
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Photo: Kent Porter / Associated Press
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The largest California wildfires
12) Laguna Fire, San Diego, September 1970
Size: 175,425 acres, 274 square miles; comparable to the land area of the 607 islands and islets making up the Federated States of Micronesia
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The largest California wildfires
12) Laguna Fire, San Diego, September 1970
Size: 175,425 acres, 274 square miles; comparable to the land area of the 607 islands and islets making up the Federated States
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Photo: Google
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11) Marble Cone Fire, Monterey County, July 1977
Size: 177,866 acres, 278 square miles; comparable to size of the country Bahrain in the Persian Gulf
11) Marble Cone Fire, Monterey County, July 1977
Size: 177,866 acres, 278 square miles; comparable to size of the country Bahrain in the Persian Gulf
Photo: Google
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10) Klamath Theater Complex Fire, Siskiyou County, June 2008
Size: 192,038 acres, 300 square miles; comparable to the size of New York City and Austin, Texas
10) Klamath Theater Complex Fire, Siskiyou County, June 2008
Size: 192,038 acres, 300 square miles; comparable to the size of New York City and Austin, Texas
Photo: Google
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9) Witch Fire, San Diego County, October 2007
Size: 197,990 acres, 309 square miles; comparable to the size of New York City and Austin, Texas
(Photo: A street is devastated in Rancho Bernado, Calif., Wednesday, Oct. 24, 2007, in San Diego County after the Witch Fire raced through the area destroying several hundred homes.)
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9) Witch Fire, San Diego County, October 2007
Size: 197,990 acres, 309 square miles; comparable to the size of New York City and Austin, Texas
(Photo: A street is devastated in Rancho Bernado, Calif.,
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Photo: Kevork Djansezian
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8) Matilija Fire, Ventura County, September 1932
Size: 220,000 acres, 344 square miles; a bit larger than Memphis, Tenn., and just about the size of Louisville, Ky.
8) Matilija Fire, Ventura County, September 1932
Size: 220,000 acres, 344 square miles; a bit larger than Memphis, Tenn., and just about the size of Louisville, Ky.
Photo: Google
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7) Carr Fire, Shasta and Trinity counties, July 2018
Size: 229,651 acres, 358 square miles; nearly the size of San Diego
(Photo: Homes leveled by the Carr Fire line the Lake Keswick Estates area of Redding, Calif., on Friday, July 27, 2018.) More: https://www.sfgate.com/california-wildfires less
7) Carr Fire, Shasta and Trinity counties, July 2018
Size: 229,651 acres, 358 square miles; nearly the size of San Diego
(Photo: Homes leveled by the Carr Fire line the Lake Keswick Estates area of Redding, ... more
Photo: Noah Berger / Associated Press
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6) Zaca Fire, Santa Barbara County, July 2007
Size: 240,207 acres, 375 square miles; comparable to the size of San Diego and more than twice the size of San Jose
(Photo: Kern County firefighters with El Tejon crew #82 Pete Moore, left, and Nick Paris, right, check on hot spots Wednesday, Aug. 22, 2007, on the Zaca Fire that is still burning in the Los Padres National Forest, Calif.) less
6) Zaca Fire, Santa Barbara County, July 2007
Size: 240,207 acres, 375 square miles; comparable to the size of San Diego and more than twice the size of San Jose
(Photo: Kern County firefighters with El Tejon ... more
Photo: Casey Christie, AP
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5) Rim Fire, Tuolomne County, August 2012
Size: 257,314 acres, 402 square miles; half the size of Los Angeles and larger than Indianapolis
(Photo: Barren hillsides and burned trees along Cherry Lake road near Groveland, Calif., on Wednesday Sept. 25, 2013, following the massive Rim Fire which erupted on August 17, 2013 and has burned more than 257,000 acres.) less
5) Rim Fire, Tuolomne County, August 2012
Size: 257,314 acres, 402 square miles; half the size of Los Angeles and larger than Indianapolis
(Photo: Barren hillsides and burned trees along Cherry Lake road near ... more
Photo: Michael Macor, The Chronicle
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4) Rush Fire, Lassen County, August 2012
Size: 271,911 acres, 423 square miles; comparable to the size of Hong Kong, China
(Note: 43,666 acres were torched in Nevada)
4) Rush Fire, Lassen County, August 2012
Size: 271,911 acres, 423 square miles; comparable to the size of Hong Kong, China
(Note: 43,666 acres were torched in Nevada)
Photo: Google
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3) Cedar Fire, San Diego County, October 2003
Size: 273,246 acres, 426 square miles; more than twice the size of Lake Tahoe nearly the size of Los Angeles
(Photo: Chimneys are all that stand in Scripps Ranch neighborhood in San Diego, Calif. Thursday, Oct. 30, 2003. The homes were among more than 1,500 lost in the 275,000 acre Cedar fire.)
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3) Cedar Fire, San Diego County, October 2003
Size: 273,246 acres, 426 square miles; more than twice the size of Lake Tahoe nearly the size of Los Angeles
(Photo: Chimneys are all that stand in Scripps Ranch
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Photo: CHARLIE RIEDEL
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2) Thomas Fire, Ventura and Santa Barbara counties, Dec. 2017
Size: 281,893 acres, 440 square miles; half the size of Marin County, twice the size of Chicago and nine and a half times the size of San Francisco
(Photo: In this Dec. 6, 2017, file photo, a motorists on Highway 101 watches flames from the Thomas fire leap above the roadway north of Ventura, Calif.)
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2) Thomas Fire, Ventura and Santa Barbara counties, Dec. 2017
Size: 281,893 acres, 440 square miles; half the size of Marin County, twice the size of Chicago and nine and a half times the size of San
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Photo: Noah Berger, Associated Press
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1) Mendocino Complex Fire, Colusa, Lake and Mendocino counties, July/August 2018
Size: 290,692 acres, 454 square miles; half the size of Marin County, twice the size of Chicago and nearly 10 times the size of San Francisco
(Photo: Resident Lane Lawder carries a water bucket while fighting to save his home from the Ranch Fire burning down New Long Valley Rd near Clearlake Oaks, California, on Saturday, August 4, 2018. The Ranch Fire is part of the Mendocino Complex, which is made up of two blazes, the River Fire and the Ranch Fire.) less
1) Mendocino Complex Fire, Colusa, Lake and Mendocino counties, July/August 2018
Size: 290,692 acres, 454 square miles; half the size of Marin County, twice the size of Chicago and nearly 10 times the size of
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Photo: NOAH BERGER, AFP/Getty Images
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Photo: Hung T. Vu / Associated Press
In this Friday, Sept. 7, 2018 photo, wildfires continued to burn on the ridge line east of I-5 just south of Gibson Rd., exit near Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif. A roaring wildfire that has shut down a stretch of a major interstate in a rural area near the California-Oregon border has nearly doubled in size. The blaze in California's Shasta-Trinity National Forest is burning out of control and crews Saturday, Sept. 8, are scrambling to prevent it from reaching mountain communities to the north. (Hung T. Vu/The Record Searchlight via AP)
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In this Friday, Sept. 7, 2018 photo, wildfires continued to burn on the ridge line east of I-5 just south of Gibson Rd., exit near Shasta-Trinity National Forest, Calif. A roaring wildfire that has shut down a
... more
Photo: Hung T. Vu / Associated Press
California wildfires remain major threat despite new rainfall year
The first hints of rain in the Bay Area are very much welcome after a five-month dry spell, especially by firefighters at the front lines of Northern California’s wildfires.
The new rainfall year, which started Monday, coincides with historically one of the worst months for wildfires. While weather forecasts still vary on exactly how much precipitation the region is supposed to get this week, word of rain is being well-received.
“It’ll certainly help the wildfires that are still smoldering in the region,” said Steve Anderson, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “But by no means will it end the fire season.”
Storms bring increased humidity levels to slow already-burning blazes, as well as hydration for dry brush.
The National Weather Service estimates that parts of San Francisco, the East Bay and the South Bay will receive between .25 and .50 inches of rain Tuesday. Showers may dump up to an inch of rain in the North Bay, with a chance of thunderstorms before 11 a.m.
However, the predicted amount of rain isn’t enough to eliminate concerns about dry brush, which will dry out quickly with light breezes and the impending weekend warm-up, said Scott McLean, a Cal Fire spokesman.
Firefighters still working on the Delta Fire near Redding could also face new challenges due to the rain.
“You’re driving on dirt roads turned to mud, and going up muddy slopes,” McLean said. “It’s like two steps up and four steps back. It adds a little complexity to the fight.”
The burn scars of the Santa Rosa and Mendocino Complex wildfires may also feature mud if future storm systems dump large amounts of rain in Northern California.
While some vegetation has regrown in Santa Rosa following last year’s fires, it hasn’t been enough to stop potential debris runoff.
Large rainstorms can trigger debris flows and flash floods like what happened in January in Montecito in Santa Barbara County, where half an inch of rain dropped in five minutes to trigger a mudslide that killed 21 people.
McLean said there’s no cause for alarm right now, but residents should be prepared for any possible situation.
“Don’t be complacent,” he said.
Fire and weather officials said it would require several years of consistent rainfall to get California back to where it needs to be after returning to pre-drought water levels.
Gwendolyn Wu is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: gwendolyn.wu@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @gwendolynawu
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