Wildfires to spread in Mediterranean area by 2099 - study

(ANSAmed) - MILAN, OCTOBER 3 - Mediterranean Europe risks a sharp increase in the number of wildfires by the end of the century due to climate change, according to a study published on the magazine Nature Communications by the research group of Italian climatologist Marco Turco of the University of Barcelona, in cooperation with the Institute of geosciences and georesources of the National Research Center in Pisa. The areas affected by fires could increase by 40 to 100%, mainly in Spain, according to the research. In order to avoid such a scenario, it would be necessary to contain global worming within 1.5 degrees, as provided for by the Paris climate agreement. Researchers have analyzed the scenario. The results show that an increase in temperatures of 1.5 degrees could determine an increase by 40% of areas devastated by fires, especially in Spain. With an increase of 3 degrees, the areas affected by fires could grow by 100%.

''These results, combined with the recent increase in the exposure to large wildfires, should induce us to reconsider current management strategies'', explained Marco Turco, the first author of the study. ''The effects of climate change could exceed efforts to prevent fires, which means we should work harder in the near future''.(ANSAmed).

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